6.5 Macro 2026年2月CPI显示通胀稳定，月增0.3%，年增2.4%。美联储预计维持利率，油价上涨影响尚未反映。
2026年2月，美国消费者价格指数（CPI）数据显示，月度环比上涨0.3%，年度同比上涨2.4%，与1月基本持平。剔除食品和能源的核心CPI月增0.2%–0.4%，年增2.5%–3.5%，具体取决于数据来源。该报告发布于伊朗冲突升级前，尚未反映近期油价飙升的影响。 二手车和杂货价格下跌，预计将抵消其他领域的通胀压力。市场反应平淡，股市小幅下跌，国债收益率略有上升。分析师普遍预计美联储将在即将召开的会议上维持3.50%–3.75%的利率区间，短期内降息可能性较低。 不过，持续的地缘政治紧张局势和油价上涨可能影响未来政策决策。总体来看，通胀压力保持稳定，美联储或将继续采取谨慎态度。
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