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6.6 Investments 摩根大通预计比特币未来十年年复合回报率达10%，高于股票和黄金，但因高波动性尚未纳入其主要投资组合。
摩根大通资产管理公司首次将比特币纳入其长期资本市场假设，预计未来10至15年比特币的年复合回报率可达10%。这一预测高于该行对美国大型股（7.5%）、房地产投资信托（8.2%）和黄金（5.5%）等主要资产类别的预期。 报告指出，比特币的波动率预计为55%，显著高于股票和黄金，并称其算术平均年回报率可能达到20.9%。尽管回报预期乐观，摩根大通尚未将比特币纳入其主要投资组合模型，原因是相关性不稳定且波动性较高。 此次将比特币纳入预测，标志着其作为主流投资资产的认可，有望影响零售和机构投资策略。部分评论人士认为该行对波动率的估计过高、回报预期偏低，但整体前景凸显了比特币在多元化投资组合中的作用日益增强。
JPMorgan’s bitcoin returns forecast sees 10% annual gains despite 55% volatility
JPMorgan Bitcoin Forecast: 10% Annual Return Outperforms Stocks and Gold
JPMorgan: Bitcoin will rise more in the long term than Wall Street and gold
JPMorgan sees 10% annual bitcoin returns, topping stocks, bonds and gold over next decade
Bitcoin Over Stocks and Gold? JPMorgan Makes Its 15-Year Call, But There's a Catch
JPMorgan Projects 10% Annualized Bitcoin Returns Over Next Decade
JP Morgan expects Bitcoin returns to surge 10% per year, outperforming US stocks and gold over the decade.
Bitcoin could outperform U.S. stocks and gold over the next decade
Investment giant JPMorgan says Bitcoin (BTC) could yield a 10% annual return over the next 10 years
Bitcoin: JPMorgan predicts 10% per year, better than US stocks and gold
JPMorgan projects Bitcoin to outperform US stocks and gold over next decade
JPMorgan Bitcoin Forecast: 10% Annual Return Tops Stocks and Gold
JPMorgan Says Bitcoin Could Beat Stocks and Gold Over the Next 10 Years
J.P. Morgan Calls for 10% Annual Bitcoin Returns
JPMorgan Sees Bitcoin (BTC) Beating Stocks and Gold With 10% Annual Return
JPMorgan Bitcoin Forecast Gives BTC a Major Edge Over US Stocks
Bitcoin Positioned to Outperform Stocks and Gold, Says J.P.
JPMorgan Predicts Bitcoin Will Be the Highest-Returning Asset Over the Next Decade
