6.7 Regulation 美国两党法案拟禁Kalshi、Polymarket等平台的体育和政治博彩，理由包括市场完整性和国家安全，但行业内存在反对声音。
美国立法者近期提出了一系列两党法案，旨在禁止在Kalshi和Polymarket等预测市场平台上进行体育和政治博彩。该立法提议禁止受CFTC监管的平台提供与体育赛事、赌场类游戏及敏感政治结果（如恐怖主义行为和战争宣言）相关的合约。 立法者认为，这些措施对于保护市场完整性、国家安全以及州消费者权益至关重要。他们指出，预测市场模糊了金融衍生品与赌博之间的界限，存在监管漏洞和潜在风险。 尽管如此，预测市场的支持者担忧禁令可能抑制创新和信息聚合的价值。法案反映出对更严格监管的两党支持日益增强，同时内华达和亚利桑那等州也正面临相关法律挑战。
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