6.6 Markets Willy Woo认为，随着供应冲击减弱，比特币或从四年减半周期转向6-8年周期，宏观经济和机构资金将更具影响力。
分析师Willy Woo表示，比特币可能正在脱离传统的四年减半周期。过去，比特币价格主要受减半事件驱动，因减半会减少新币供应并引发可预测的价格波动。如今，比特币年新增供应量已降至约0.8%，预计2028年减半后将进一步降至0.4%。Woo认为，这些供应冲击的影响正在减弱。 他提出，比特币未来或将转向类似于传统金融市场债务和流动性周期的6-8年周期。这意味着，宏观经济因素和机构投资工具（如ETF）将在影响比特币价格走势方面扮演更重要的角色，而不仅仅是减半事件。 这一观点预示着投资者对比特币未来市场行为的解读方式可能发生变化。
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