6.8 Markets Binance Research称，美国中期选举后比特币和股市通常大涨，标普500平均涨19%，比特币涨54%。2026年选举或再引发市场复苏。
多份基于Binance Research的报告指出，2026年美国中期选举有望成为比特币和股市大幅上涨的催化剂。自1939年以来，历史数据显示，标普500指数在中期选举后的第一年平均上涨19%，且在这些周期中没有出现年度负回报。 比特币自成为主流交易资产以来，经历过三次中期选举周期，随后三年平均涨幅达到54%。研究还指出，市场波动性通常会在选举日前约八个月开始上升，投资者会根据财政政策、监管和政府支出调整预期。 中期选举年往往以明显的市场回调开局，但随后常常迎来强劲反弹。尽管当前地缘政治紧张和能源成本上升，历史模式表明2026年中期选举仍有望为比特币和股票市场带来积极催化作用。
Bitcoin Historically Drops 56% in U.S. Midterm Years, Says Binance Research
Bitcoin Could Drop 56% in U.S. Midterm Year Election Years: Binance Report
Bitcoin price may rally after U.S. mid-term elections
Midterm Elections: A Potential Trigger for Bitcoin and Stock Market Resurgence
Binance Research Flags US Midterms as Possible Catalyst for Bitcoin and Equities Rally
U.S. Midterms Followed By Strong Bitcoin Gains
Binance: U.S. Midterms Historically Followed by Strong Bitcoin Gains
Binance says US midterms could boost Bitcoin and stocks
Bitcoin Rally Potential Soars as Binance Research Pinpoints US Midterm Election Catalyst
